Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.527348 0.613797 0.709536 0.823372 0.954993 1.102356 1.279841
2025-02-23 0.382213 0.496867 0.637915 0.823946 1.062656 1.358507 1.752950
2025-03-02 0.301046 0.423450 0.585718 0.816060 1.134171 1.557605 2.163795
2025-03-09 0.249693 0.374605 0.550609 0.815852 1.204667 1.752967 2.584306
2025-03-16 0.204547 0.324694 0.503247 0.786747 1.224441 1.873350 2.907369
2025-03-23 0.188967 0.315228 0.511854 0.838655 1.366599 2.184232 3.544725
2025-03-30 0.160807 0.281023 0.476609 0.815862 1.387570 2.309654 3.906843
2025-04-06 0.137176 0.250365 0.442183 0.788394 1.395173 2.411343 4.238198
2025-04-13 0.118151 0.224632 0.412132 0.763410 1.402104 2.510000 4.572115
2025-04-20 0.106973 0.211275 0.401607 0.770770 1.465265 2.709840 5.101978
2025-04-27 0.101728 0.208183 0.409010 0.811307 1.592498 3.035390 5.892500
2025-05-04 0.095004 0.201201 0.408060 0.835508 1.691185 3.318136 6.632912
2025-05-11 0.087168 0.191169 0.400465 0.846825 1.768406 3.572923 7.357239
2025-05-18 0.078986 0.179298 0.387758 0.846370 1.822436 3.789538 8.033277
2025-05-25 0.071134 0.166968 0.372422 0.838234 1.859167 3.974780 8.665295
2025-06-01 0.064909 0.157341 0.361521 0.838018 1.912184 4.198224 9.400727
2025-06-08 0.057169 0.143086 0.338598 0.808140 1.896555 4.274801 9.828685
2025-06-15 0.056152 0.144663 0.351554 0.861426 2.073369 4.785038 11.266113
2025-06-22 0.050166 0.133196 0.332773 0.838029 2.070739 4.897570 11.818339
2025-06-29 0.044591 0.121952 0.313069 0.809832 2.053171 4.973786 12.294141
2025-07-06 0.039796 0.112034 0.295334 0.784183 2.038524 5.054728 12.789262
2025-07-13 0.037208 0.107646 0.290938 0.791739 2.107140 5.340413 13.811092
2025-07-20 0.036443 0.108166 0.299263 0.833353 2.267202 5.864701 15.479973